LANSARY. Energy Bring us the decision
Energy · independent intelligence

Does the £28bn now moving through the grid strengthen your position — or expose it?

Ofgem’s RIIO-3 determination funds five years of grid investment — and raises the bar on who can prove they’ll deliver it. Before a bid, a connection, a partner or an audit tests your position, we read the whole record behind it — ownership, contracts, capacity, finance, compliance — and give you a defensible, source-cited read on where it holds, and where it doesn't.

Decision-grade · built to a reliance-bearing standard · conflict-walled

We publish the standard we work to. We never publish the method.

Energy determinations, connection-queue sheets, HVDC schematics, finance memos and grid maps converging on a green decision node
Energy record → named dependency → graded Verdict
Land here if you are

A developer or EPC weighing a bid, a connection or a second source · a generator, network or system operator who can’t see past tier-1 · a board or investment committee facing a decision too big to get wrong · an infrastructure fund or corporate-development team pricing an energy target · a developer or OEM choosing who to team or connect with · or a project-finance lender or energy underwriter pricing a position you can’t see inside.

The Evidence Packs — energy

Nine decisions. One Evidence Pack each. Built to one published standard.

Whichever energy decision is in front of you, we settle it as a single, defensible Evidence Pack — a source-cited read you can take to a board, an investment committee, a regulator or a lender. Pick the one that’s yours. Supply-chain exposure runs through several of them; it is never the whole of it.

Win the work — and hold it

Commit to a partner or a market

Put capital behind it

Public-record case study

A grid connection can be funded on paper while the equipment route stays exposed.

This case study shows how a named public proof surface changes the question a buyer can ask before committing.

Case study · Energy

RIIO-3 connection and transformer constraint

Named problem: a funded connection still turns on transformer, HVDC and queue-position evidence that can sit outside the bid file.

Public proof surface: Ofgem determinations, NESO connection-queue records, Companies House filings, Contracts Finder and UK sanctions records.

Decision impact: the project team can decide whether to bid, second-source, or alter the connection plan before the clock is fixed.

Read the energy case study →
What’s in every Evidence Pack

A read of record — not a score, not a dashboard.

Whichever decision you bring, the Evidence Pack has the same shape. You can hand it to a board and defend every line of it.

What is established
The evidence that holds — every claim source-cited to the public record, graded for how firmly it stands.
The binding constraint
The one thing the decision actually turns on — named, so you weigh it on what matters, not on noise.
What to establish next
What only privileged judgement can still settle, stated plainly. We never dress a gap as a finding.
A lock-state — never a number
Established · established with residual risk · research required — reached by named rules over cited facts. No score, no percentage, no forecast.
Bid Evidence Pack · energy · specimen · redacted

Two unrelated grid projects resolve to one shared transformer supplier.

Established · built to the Lansary Standard

The specimen is redacted — it shows the form and the rigour without exposing a position or our method.

The Lansary Standard is published as the bar this work is built to meet. It is not yet adopted as an external mandate, and no read shown is a live, conferred finding.

See what a read looks like →

The standard

Every Evidence Pack is held to a bar you can read.

The credibility is the standard, published — not a claim about it.

The Lansary Standard · the published bar

One published standard — the bar a board, a regulator or a lender can hold us to.

Every Evidence Pack is built to it, and every claim traces to the public record. You see the standard. You never see the method — that is the protection. (Published as the bar the work is built to meet; not yet adopted as an external mandate.) Read the Standard →

Independence & confidentiality

Nothing to sell you. Your names never leave the room.

What you get is one defensible read on what your position actually depends on — dated, source-cited, and reached the same way every time, so it holds up to the board, the regulator or the lender who will test it. Never a black-box score.

The independence isn’t a claim — it’s borrowed from the record. We anchor to the public registers an energy buyer already trusts: Companies House and the PSC register, Ofgem and NESO’s published registers, Contracts Finder and Find a Tender, the UK Sanctions List. You can tell an intelligence house by what it refuses: no score, no forecast, no client names, no “how it works”.

What you bring stays in confidence under NDA. Your suppliers, partners and targets are never named to anyone; anything we reference publicly is unnamed and aggregate.

Read by an operator, not just a machine.

30+ years across aerospace · defence · logistics operations — the warrant for the judgement beneath the evidence.

Why now — energy

The ground moved under every energy decision.

£28bn
RIIO-3 final determinations
Confirmed by Ofgem on 4 Dec 2025 — £28bn of network investment funding for 2026–2031, deciding which pipelines are funded from 1 April 2026. Ofgem estimates the programme reaches ~£90bn by 2031.
700+ GW
The connection queue
NESO’s reformed pipeline, confirmed 8 Dec 2025, reshuffles a queue of more than 700 GW — prioritising 283 GW of generation and storage and 99 GW of transmission-connected demand, while more than 300 GW does not move forward.
14.7 GW
CfD Allocation Round 7
Awarded in two parts — 8,437.50 MW of offshore and floating wind on 14 Jan 2026, and 6,232.09 MW of solar, onshore wind and tidal on 10 Feb 2026 — on 15-year indexed contracts.
4–5+ yrs
Grid-equipment lead times
The IEA reported on 25 Feb 2025 that large power transformers now take up to four years and HVDC cables beyond five — lead times almost doubled since 2021, across a few top-tier suppliers.

See the nine drivers, dated and sourced →

Before you ask

The questions an energy buyer puts to us first.

Is this a supply-chain product?
No. Supply-chain exposure is part of several of the nine decisions we settle — it is never the whole of it. We answer the high-stakes energy question in front of you: a bid, a supplier, a partner, a target, a connection.
How do we start, and what does it cost?
Bring one decision. We scope it in confidence — what we can settle, to what grade, and on what terms, with a fixed fee agreed in writing before any work begins. No platform fee, no subscription.
Is an Evidence Pack just a report?
It’s a read of record, not a write-up. Every claim is source-cited and graded against one published standard, the binding constraint is named, and what’s still open is stated — no score, no dashboard, nothing you couldn’t defend to a board.
How do you reach a read?
By named rules over source-cited, public-register evidence — not a black-box score, and never a forecast. You see the standard and the evidence; the method stays ours.
Will our suppliers, partners or targets be named to anyone?
No. Held in confidence under NDA. Anything we reference publicly is unnamed and aggregate, never a named firm.
Do you need access to our systems?
No. We work from the public record and what you choose to share — nothing to install, integrate or ingest.
Engage

Bring us the energy decision you can’t afford to get wrong.

A scoping conversation, in confidence. We tell you whether it’s a question we can settle, to what grade, and on what terms — before any commitment.

Part of the Lansary intelligence estate

One independent evidence house. Sector-native doors.